Thursday, October 25, 2012

Something Doesn't Add Up Here

I recently had cause to look up some articles on solar farms, and came across this one about a small-scale solar farm built by an apartment complex in Indianapolis. I noticed these paragraphs:

The electricity generated by the panels won't be used at the complex, but will be sold back to Indianapolis Power and Light instead.
"It's really an economic decision on their part," said John Haselden with IPL. "The 24 cents (they are selling the electricity for) is probably better than the than the eight or 10 cents that they are purchasing it for."
That doesn't add up at all. Why would IPL be willing to pay 24 cents for electricity when they're only selling it for eight or 10 cents? You simply can't pay more for your wholesale product than you sell it for retail without going out of busines. I bet if the reporter had dug just a teeny, tiny bit deeper he would have found out that IPL's purchase price for green energy is government-subsidized.

As was the cost of the solar farm itself.

The farm cost $345,000 and will generate expected revenues of $20k. That's a 17.25 year just to break even on the initial investment, which is pretty damn crappy in my book. And there's all sorts of things that can happen over the course of 17.25 years to extend that period: acts of god, vandalism, changes in the purchase rates to match market realities (If the subsidies or incentives or whatever's allowing that 24 cent price end, then the power company is surely going to want to pay less than the eight or 10 cents they're selling for -- which would bring in as little as 1/3 the expected revenue.

Of course, the apartment complex doesn't have to worry about the full ROI because it was built with government "stimulus" grants. In other words, they spent taxpayer money on a private project, and the taxpayers ain't ever seeing that money again.

Would you as a private citizen give money to someone to build something that's not going to see a profit for 17.25 years, if ever, and for which you'll never see a share (remember, it's a grant, not a loan)? No, of course you wouldn't. That's why they had to take the money from you whether you like it or not.

Even if everything goes as planned, after 17.5 years, the panels could last as little as another 13 years after that (they're estimated to last 30-50 years in the article). Is that 30-50 year estimate accurate? Not according to other articles I found:

"Solar photovoltaics slowly lose their generating capacity. Although some solar panels are still working satisfactorily 40 years after installation, the conventional view is that most will dip below 80% of their rated capacity within about 20 years. This will vary slightly between manufacturers and between different types of silicon"

"Typically, the warranty given by solar cell manufacturers covers just 80 percent of power output. All this means that it may make economic sense to substitute older panels with newer panels before they are 30 years old."

If true, then not long after the $345,000 investment starts to get paid off, the owner will have to start re-investing in replacement panels, thus reducing the long-term profit potential even further.


Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Journalists: Doing The Hard Work Of Being Plonkingly Stupid For You!

Fox News just published a sensationalist article linking Monster Energy Drink to five deaths.

The article lists the factoid that "Monster Energy Drink, which comes in 24-ounce cans and contains 240 milligrams of caffeine, or seven times the amount of the caffeine in a 12-ounce cola."

The parents of a California 14-year-old are suing Monster for the death of their daughter "who died after drinking two, 24-ounce Monster Energy Drinks in 24 hours."

According to the article:
An autopsy found that Anais Fournier died of cardiac arrhythmia due to caffeine toxicity that impeded her heart's ability to pump blood.
 Oh my gosh! That's terrible! Monster Energy Drink is poison! Oh, wait, no....
She suffered from an inherited disorder that can weaken blood vessels. But the child's parents claim Monster failed to warn about the risks of drinking its products.
So your child suffers from a life-threatening disorder and it's someone's resposibility other than you and her to keep her away from high-caffeine drinks?

Oh, yes, back to Monsters and its killer levels of caffeine. The article completely fails to put that 240 milligrams of caffeine into perspective. Exactly how negligently outrageous is that enormous amount of caffeine in a 24 ounce drink?

Well, according to a couple of informational websites, 8 oz. of a flavored coffee contains 100 mg. So a typical venti Mocha at Starbucks has about 300mg of caffeine. A typical 8 oz. cup of ordinary coffee from a drip coffee maker has 115-175 mg of caffeine (depending on how strong you make it).

So you could be consuming more than twice the caffeine of 24 ounces of Monster energy drink by drinking 24 ounces of coffee -- the large size coffee you'd pick up at your local gas station.In other words, Monster has less caffeine than one of the most ancient, commonly enjoyed, ubiquitous beverages known to man

Get a clue, journalists! Don't be led to be the propagandists for sensational claims by litigation-happy people trying to cash in on their daughter's tragedy!

Anyone who has a condition that could become life-threatening if they consume too much caffeine but who doesn't know that Monster is loaded with caffeine (That's how they advertise it! It's mentioned prominently on the can!), is like a diabetic who gorges themselves on Twinkies, goes into a diabetic coma and then pretends to have no idea that they were loaded with sugar. This is nobody's fault but the girl and her parents. Don't be a shill for them.

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Sounds Legitimate

Looks like legitimate free WiFi to me. What do you think?

Is Being Nice A Requirement To Be A Good Teacher?

In an article in today's New York Times, Deborah Kenny writes

AS the founder of a charter school network in Harlem, I’ve seen firsthand the nuances inherent in teacher evaluation. A few years ago, for instance, we decided not to renew the contract of one of our teachers despite the fact that his students performed exceptionally well on the state exam.

We kept hearing directly from students and parents that he was mean and derided the children who needed the most help. The teacher also regularly complained about problems during faculty meetings without offering solutions. Three of our strongest teachers confided to the principal that they were reluctantly considering leaving because his negativity was making everyone miserable.
As a person of the curmudgeonly persuasion, I'm a little distressed by this paragraph. What I'm taking away from the parapgraph is that the teacher was fired because he wasn't nice. That his students performed well seems to be inarguable. But he was fired for reasons that had nothing to do with his teaching excellence and all about his demeanor.

So he "derided the students that needed the most help." Have we still not put the abomination of "self esteem über alles" out of its misery? Maybe those special flowers that needed the most help also needed a little derision. Teaching isn't about always making you  feel good.

As for the faculty members complaining about his negativity, "Suck it up, Buttercups." That sounds like staff room backstabbing to me. I really dislike the faux constructive attitude some people have that you're only allowed to complain about a probllem if you have a solution. Is it a problem, or isn't it? If you want to sweep his complaints under the rug only because he doesn't have a solution,. what you often mean is that you'd prefer to ignore a problem because it's hard to solve.

Teaching isn't a popularity contest, either for the students or the teachers. Ms. Kenny's school fires a teacher not because he was incompetent, but because he didn't know how to play the popularity game. He was a grump, a curmuedgeon, a son-of-a-bitch. Well, a lot of great things in history have been done by people who were real sons-of-bitches.

Ms. Kenny goes on to explain that the firing of this teacher is why she opposes government-mandated teacher evaluations. "If our schools had been required to use a state-run teacher evaluation system, the teacher we let go would have been rated at the top of the scale." Yes, that's because the state-run evaluation system would have been objective and performance based, instead of basing his employment on whether the teacher was able to assuage the delicate psyches of some liberal buttercup teachers and some whiny students who didn't like being told they sucked.

Ironically, though, I am opposed to state or federally-mandated teacher evaluations on principle. At the federal level, the government simply has no grant of power to become involved in education. If you don't like it, push for an amendment, but that's the way it is.

Farther down at the state level, I think local control of education is the most fair and beneficial for all involved. Local school districts are best suited to work directly with parents and students to meet the educational needs of the students. If you could remove unions from the picture and local boards of education were free to fire teachers at will, and judge performance however they chose -- from Ms. Kenny's more subjective standard or an objective performance-based standard -- then that maximizes the choice and freedom of all involved. Ms. Kenny's charter school network has a right to be a feel-good liberal enclave that values feelings and group tranquility over performance. And parents have the right to either not send their kids there or to voice their dissatisfaction and work for change.

Once you move control of the system up to the state and federal levels, you remove much of the ability for individual parents to effect change in their local school systems. At that point, getting anything done requires lobbyists and activists groups, not 20 upset parents at a school board meeting. Removing that immediacy of control is a bad thing.

At the local level, schools should be permitted to kick out the unions and run union-free. I've worked in at-will employment all my working life, more than 30 years, from my first teenage
 part-time jobs to the present. I've never had a union to "protect" me. My employes have always been free to fire me anytime they want. And I don't have a problem with that. If I was being subjected to harsh, unfair conditions, yeah, I'd consider a union to protect me, or maybe I'd just quit and look for a better job. But I don't live in a Dickens novel, and neither do teachers in the U.S. They're professionals, just like me, and they can seek employment on the same footing as me. The companies I've worked for have always treated and compensated me at least adequately for the work I do, and I've always been free to leave if I didn't like the situation. Teachers are no different.

There's no reason to have our schools held hostage to teachers unions that promote the interests of the teachers over the interests of our children.

Of course, my ultimate advice is to opt out of the current system: home school or private school. We have been home schooling my children for more than 20 years now -- two are out in good careers, one is in college, two are still being home schooled. I recommend it heartily. It's not easy, by any means, but I'm very proud of how they're turning out.

One of the things I like most about it is that the buck stops here. There's absolutely no one to blame for my children's educational failings but myself. That's quite a responsibility, but it's no more responsibility than any parent should be willing to take on for their child.

Monday, October 15, 2012

Welcome to California

I'm out in California on business this week. I stopped into a grocery to pick up some food for my hotel room refrigerator. Of course, I was greeted in the checkout line by this:
Yeah. And they charged me for a paper bag. Thanks Sunnyvale.The central valley is turning into Mad Max times, cities are declaring bankruptcy and entrenched public sector unions and environmentalists are quashing all growth in the state, but, thank goodness, Sunnyvale is plastic-free.

Friday, October 12, 2012

Another Year, Another Embarrassment for the Nobel Peace Prize

This year, the EU (yes, the whole thing!) won the Nobel Peace Prize. It's sort of a "lifetime achievement award" for "for promoting peace, democracy and human rights over six decades." Uh-huh. Yeah. Considering that the EU didn't exist as such until 1993, I am most impressed with how they packed six decades of promotion into less than 20 years. I know, I know, they're including predecessor organizations the European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) and the European Economic Community (EEC), but I still think that's giving them way too much credit. Those organizations were a far different thing than the actual EU.


The EU has transformed most of Europe "from a continent of wars to a continent of peace," Nobel Committee chairman Thorbjoern Jagland said in announcing the award in Oslo.
"The EU is currently undergoing grave economic difficulties and considerable social unrest. The Norwegian Nobel Committee wishes to focus on what it sees as the EU's most important result: the successful struggle for peace and reconciliation and for democracy and human rights," he said.
Jaglund praised the EU for rebuilding Europe after World War Two and for its role in spreading stability after the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989.

Ah, yes, I'm sure they'll mention the Marshall plan and the U.S. garrison of Europe over the past 70 years any moment now. Searching the article ... funny. No mention. Must be an oversight. Probably because they already award the Nobel Peace prize to the entire U.S. -- oh, wait, they didn't actually do that. Weird. They probably forgot.


I imagine they'll have some explanation for the wars that ravaged central and eastern Europe in the 90s. Where was the EU then? Oh, failing to keep the peace:
After centuries of war on the continent the EU has been at peace within its borders, but its effort to stop war in former Yugoslavia -- hailed by one minister as "the hour of Europe" -- was a failure.
The Nobel Peace Prize has descended below self-parody.

Media Bias, Voter Registration and My Old Journalism Prof

'The number of "inactive" voters is staggering.'

That's a standalone, unattributed one-paragraph sentence in a supposed news story about inactive voters.

I say "supposed" because a paragraph like that has no business in a news story. My old journalism professor would jump down our throats about every adjective we put into a story. Staggering? I can hear him in my head thirty years later in his thick Australian accent, "Staggering? Says who? The people aren't paying to read what you think! They're paying you to report the facts! I don't recall being literally staggered when I read your story! If you're going to make a claim like that you have to attribute it! This isn't the editorial page!"

On to the merits of this "staggering" claim. The reporter gives the number of inactive voters in the U.S. at nearly 21 million according to the Census Bureau. The over-18 population of the U.S., according to the Census Bureau numbers for 2011, was 237,744,633. So, about 8.8% of the adult population is marked inactive on the voter rolls.

Color me not staggered. We have not had a voter turnout for a Presidential election that tops 60% of the voting-age population since the Nixon-McGovern election in 1968. If more than 40% of the voting-age population does not even turn out to vote, then eight percent being marked inactive seems precisely the opposite of "staggering" to me.

Marking voters who have not voted in many years as inactive is a very long-standing practice and I was unaware that it was in any way controversial. So what suddenly made this a controversy worth reporting on?

Ahh. You have to read between the lines. And I found the proper lines to read between are down between the 7th and 8th paragraphs:

Critics charge that the "inactive voter" lists across the country have led to the unfair removal of voters from the voting rolls. They have branded the process vote "purging."
"Inactive voter lists really place the onus on voters, to figure out what their voter registration status is," laments Ryan Haygood, director of political participation at the NAACP Legal Defense Fund.
Horror! Voters having to take responsibility for their own registration status? What's next, people having to provide for their own food and housing? What are we coming to?

I'd be willing to lay money that the reporter, named, um ... hey, there's not a byline! Odd. Oh, at the bottom it says "Fox News' Kathleen Foster contributed to this report." Really? You know when media outlets give a "contributed" credit instead of a full byline? They do it when not enough of the text is the reporters' own to qualify the story as her own work. So, as I was saying, this story is almost certainly a re-write of a press release from some activist organization attempting to turn an ordinary and long-standing facet of election law into a "controversy." Probably the NAACP in this case.

And that's how special interests hijack the news. Even though the reporter went to the trouble of getting opposing quotes, she (or the unattributed press release author) editorialized in the middle of the story and contributed to a biased atmosphere by actually allowing herself to be led by the nose to turn this into a story by some group's PR department. It doesn't matter to the group that originated the story that she included alternate viewpoints. The key thing is that they got a story in one of the nation's top news outlets.

Just by getting the story to print, they win by setting the public perception that there is an actual controversy. The reader thinks "Why would Fox print the story if there wasn't a controversy?" How did Fox know there was a controversy? Why, they were told so by the group trying to create a controversy!

Are there actual hordes of angry would-be voters complaining that they are unable to vote when they want to? No, that doesn't exist. There are only the imagined disenfranchised. Then number of lazy half-interested voters who don't bother to turn up to the polls in half a decade, don't bother to confirm their registration after that gap, and find out too late that they're no longer registered to vote, is miniscule, and they are precisely the opposite of the type to form a political activist organization to do something about it. They're more the "Oh, crap. Oh well, maybe next time." types. No, this "controversy" is generated by entirely more active and motivated types on behalf of those poor down-trodden who didn't bother to notice that they ought to be outraged.

We are awash in these "top-down" controversies. Things become "controversial" because a very small group of well-funded, committed activists say they are, and the reporters, desperate for easily-generated news copy, eat it up. Going out and doing the work of finding out how many people are actually turned away at the polls would have been hard. Rewriting a press release then calling up a few government officials for quotes was easy. Thanks, Ms. Foster, you've done your bit to further the demise of actual journalism. You can go home now.