Friday, December 20, 2013

Tautology Alert



Distractify has a pretty funny article, 39 Test Answers That Are 100% Wrong But Totally Genius At The Same Time. 

But the very first one hurts my logical brain:

The teacher's answer is just as wrong as the student's because it's a tautology.
The question is: How do you know (that the number is even)?

If you answer, as the teacher does "Because the number in the one's place is even." you have demonstrated no sign that you understand what the definition of "even" is. You might as well have said "Because I'm smart."

Let me put it another way:
Is the number 68 even or odd? Even.
How do you know the number 68 is even? Because the number in the one's place is even.
The number in the one's place is 8.
How do you know the number 8 is even? Um....

That, there is where the teacher's answer falls apart. If we're already assuming you know what "even" means, then there's no point to question 7 at all. You can't define a term by using the same term.

If you answer "because I've memorized all the even one digit numbers," that's basically as useful as saying "Because I am smart."

You have to answer "because the number (in the one's place) is divisible by two with no remainder."

The parenthetical portion is actually redundant, but I wouldn't call it wrong.

Teacher fail.

As long as I'm picking this apart: the title of the article indicates that the answers are wrong. This one isn't wrong. It's pretty much the best and most important answer possible! Smart kid!



This one is also not wrong. It demonstrates that the student has a far better grasp of English and logic than the teacher:


Also, not wrong. The question doesn't ask the student to define "risk," but to give an example of a risk. The student does so concisely and elegantly:


Also not wrong, assuming Frankie's not a liar (and his assertion is eminently plausible!):


For all I know, this could be absolutely correct. I bet the teacher didn't get it translated, either! I'd totally give the kid an A without even bothering to translate. A kid who goes to that much trouble to forge a plausible-looking Chinese letter is learning more than he would from doing the boring old essay question.


This one is a satisfaction survey and has no correct or incorrect answers:

 Ask a subjective question, expect a subjective answer. It's not like "Tony gets better at piano," is an ironclad effect. Some people just suck at piano.


 What the hell kind of picture were they looking for here? I fault the kid for not adding up his age, but we're talking, what, probably at least 110 years old here? Any kid who didn't draw a gravestone, urn or bare skeleton is delusional. At least the kid has a grasp of the spans of time under consideration.



Again, nothing wrong about this answer, as far as I can tell.


Sad, but not wrong:





Also not wrong. Just awesome:


 

So, by my count that's 10 out of 39 cases where distractify doesn't know what "100% wrong" means (and there was one other I was on the fence about). Maybe they should ask some of these kids.

Also, teachers, if your students outwit you, please just accept defeat gracefully. They're learning important life lessons.

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Monday, December 2, 2013

Money For Nothing

Last night I got on healthcare.gov and checked out what it would cost to insure my family of five through the exchanges. More than $12,000/year for Bronze plans with family deductibles as high as $12,000

Up to $24,000 per year in out-of-pocket medical expenses before I get anything at all for my money (because the money you pay for insurance you never use is a medical expense).

The premium cost is actually less than my 2014 employer-provided insurance (which is more than my 2013 insurance, with worse benefits, because my existing plan was canceled due to Obamacare. If you like your plan....), but my employer subsidizes 80% of my premium, so I don't feel the bite so much. But the bite is still there, if I pay attention, because that 80% "subsidy" is money the company could otherwise pay me directly in salary!

It's the deductible that's radically different. Currently, my deductible is only $1,200 for the family -- a tenth of the Bronze plan deductible. A $12,000 deductible means your insurance is really catastrophic health insurance, but it's priced like comprehensive health insurance, because after the deductible it covers all sorts of ridiculous things.

Pre-Obamacare, if I could have arranged for the company's share of the premium to be paid to me and bought my own insurance, I would have. But that's not an option under the perverse, industry-warping set of tax incentives we're saddled with.

We are not a heavily medicalized family. We don't go to the doctor at the drop of a hat. We typically don't meet the $1200 deductible, no less the $12,000 dollar deductible. All I would really want is catastrophic health insurance. I'm totally good with paying out of pocket for non-catastrophic expenses -- I can manage my own money, thanks. But I am now prohibited by Obamacare from buying catastrophic insurance through the exchange because I am not under 29.

I'm so grateful that a bunch of politicians and bureaucrats in Washington know what's best for me.

That's the ultimate indignity of the nanny state -- the presumption of incompetence.

Step 1: Don't Tour North Korea

The WSJ has a video up, "Keeping Safe While Touring North Korea":
An 85-year-old American was arrested in North Korea due to his service in the Korean War. Simon Cockerell of Koryo Tours, which arranges group visits to the country, tells the WSJ's Deborah Kan what American tourists need to do to keep themselves safe.
The desire to tour North Korea should be your first warning that you suffer from serious mental health issues and have no business plopping yourself down in the middle of one of the most brutal, repressive regimes on earth to engage in tourism! Seek help.

Later: Man, having watched the video now, I'd say it's extremely disappointing, except that it's exactly what I expected. It's a self-serving propaganda pitch from a tour operator. The WSJ interviewer, Deborah Kan, declines to give him anything but softball questions that allow him to present his "nothing to see here, move along, no trouble at all" spiel.

I get angry that journalists today feel apparently no obligation to ask hard questions. She asks about instructions that tourists are given -- do's and don'ts, mostly don'ts -- but never digs down into specifics or asks about the regime's brutal repression of its citizens, the Potemkin village experience it provides to tourists and the morality of pumping tourist dollars into this ugly, ugly evil system to help it keep itself afloat.

For the Useful Idiot file: In another article on the detention, a commenter says: "I would probably agree with North Korea. I don’t think we would look kindly on a 90 year old Japanese Emperor sight seeing Pearl Harbor."

How can a statement that idiotic not want to make you pound your head against a wall? The Emperor of Japan is a ceremonial figure, recognized and honored by the U.S. government. Should he or any member of the Japanese imperial family decide to visit Pearl Harbor, they'd get the VIP treatment. As far as aging Japanese soldiers, the U.S. welcomes all Japanese citizens, is no longer seeking any Japanese war criminals and would not do this to any Japanese citizen visiting our shores.

I'm disappointed that the man, Merrill E. Newman, dutifully confessed to all crimes. I'd hope that even at 85 -- especially at 85 -- I'd have the stones to tell the North Koreans where to stuff their confession.

Human Nature As Revealed Through My Kids

There were a couple little interactions between my two youngest daughters that happened this afternoon that I thought were very revealing of human nature.

In the first, the youngest found a chess medallion that belonged to her older brother. "He won a medal for chess?" the youngest asked, excited, because she's getting interested in chess a bit.

"Not really," the older one replied. "We both got them. They're just pity prizes. Everyone who played got them."

Pity prizes. The term and my daughter's tone said it all. These kinds of "trophies" and "awards" are ridiculously common now, and they don't do anything for the kids' self-esteem (as if that were important). If anything, they're reminders of failure: "You got this because you didn't win." The kids realize this. Don't the adults think the kids realize this? Adults who come up with these idiotic "participation awards," I ask you: exactly how stupid do you think these kids are? It's pretty damn insulting that you expect them to be pleased by receiving these.

In the second interaction, we'd just gotten out the Christmas advent calendar: It's a little wooden Christmas tree with 24 drawers. Each drawer has a little ornament, and each day from Dec. 1 through Dec. 24 you're supposed to take the next ornament out of its drawer and hang it on the tree.

The youngest asserted that she wanted to hang all the ornaments right now. Her older sister was adamant that the ornaments must be hung once a day, because that's how it's supposed to be done!

"Rules! Pfft!" was pretty much the younger daughter's attitude. "I don't see a rulebook for it! There's no instructions! We can do it any way we want!"

"But that's not how it's supposed to be done!" The older sister tried to explain. One a day until Christmas.

The younger daughter showed no appreciation for the explanation. The existence of a set of codified expectations for how the advent calendar is supposed to work didn't impress her at all.

I took out a sheet of paper and wrote "ONE AT A TIME" on it in marker and set it down in front of the advent calendar. "See? Rules!" She thought that was pretty hilarious. I let her put all the ornaments on. She'll probably be more interested in putting them all away and putting them on one at a time later after she's had a chance to play with the tree for a while. Or not. As if I care. The real purpose of the tree is for the enjoyment of children: if the rules are a barrier to her enjoyment, of what use are the rules? There are plenty of times in her life when the rules must be followed. Freedom to ignore the rules is something kids also need, sometimes.

But it's interesting how two girls, raised in the same household, have very different attitudes toward rules. That interaction was characteristic of the two. The older (the fourth of five) is much more the type to like things very orderly, to think that there is a "Way Things Should Be Done." The younger isn't completely devoid of that instinct -- I think all people have it, but she is much more inclined to discard the rules when the rules get in her way. How much of that difference between the two is innate and how much due to differences in how we have parented them? My experience after five kids is that no two kids get parented exactly the same, even by the same parents at the same time. Your parenting and your interactions with your kids are influenced by their personalities, your age and experience, your life situation at the time (job, income, free time, mental health, etc.), and your natural relationship with the child, for better or worse.

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Bait and Switch -- Women Letting Themselves Go

I know there are men who let themselves go, too, but there are certain women who seem to make the transition from Wow to Whale overnight. It's got to be a shock to a guy to marry this:



And then in only a couple years find himself walking down the street with this:


It's like if you bought a Ferrari, and one day you came out and found it had been replaced with a Dodge Vanagon, and then when you checked the contract -- yeah, that was the deal. You missed it. Ferrari to be replaced with Dodge Vanagon after two years. Sucks to be you.

If you're the kind of guy that gets turned on by young Bryce Dallas Howard, is there any chance at all that the Bryce Dallas Howard who looks like Roseanne Barr's sister will get your motor running? Probably it's all he can do to pretend not to be repulsed. I mean, we're supposed to love the inner person, but there's a limit. When the inner person is buried under several hundred pounds of newly-acquired fat, you shouldn't have to pretend that's just OK.

This isn't just baby weight. The mother of my five children is pretty much the same weight now that she was when I met her. She never put on this kind of weight when she was pregnant.

Bryce looks like she was just shoving anything within reach into her mouth. She might have accidentally eaten her midwife.

I can imagine her husband, "Honey, maybe you should slow down...."

"I'm eating for two!"

"But that's an awful lot of ice cream!"

"Eating. FOR. TWO. DAMNIT! MORE ICE CREAM! MORE! MORE! ROAR!"

Eventually they just had to toss the ice cream containers from a distance after a couple people lost limbs.

I've known more than a coupe husbands whose wives did this, and women of my acquaintance who did this between their late teens and late 20s. I see their wedding pictures or high school photos, or remember them personally as cute little hotties -- and I now kind of recognize the face on top of the blimp. It's not OK.

If anyone read this blog, I'd be expecting some serious hate mail.

Monday, November 11, 2013

Obama: Insanely Conservative

"Insanely conservative" is how one leftist poster (who seemed to have a lot of like-minded company) described Obama in a recent thread on a forum site I frequent thats primary topic is non-political and whose membership, I'd hazard to characterize, is comprised of people far less politically aware and sophisticated than that of the many political sites and blogs I read.

I sit and I think about that phrase as a descriptor for Obama, and I try to wrap my head around it. It seems to me that to hold a belief like that is only possible if you know absolutely nothing about what it means to be "conservative" or "liberal" (it hurts me to use liberal in this context and I must note that "progressive" is the more historically correct term for the ideological pedigree in question, but in the popular mind, Republicans are conservative and Democrats are liberal).

I can only assume from the context of the thread that Obama is "insanely conservative" because in many practical matters of governance they see him to be "Bush 2.0." Indeed, he failed to close Guantanamo, renewed the Patriot Act and used it with much vigor, practices rendition and greatly increased the use of drone strikes, and has presided over unprecedented domestic surveillance.

Unfortunately for these people, they are under quite a misapprehension if they think these are conservative policies. Bush was a Republican, true, but he was not particularly conservative. He had mostly big government, statist instincts. Obama's first opponent, John McCain, is notable for being among the most moderate of all Republicans, most willing to cross the aisle and work hand in hand with Democrats (per McCain-Feingold), but during the election it was he that was presented as some "insanely conservative" war-monger for wanting to continue Bush's policies in Iraq and Afghanistan. Romney, likewise is a man of very modest, mainstream, moderate instincts. In any other era, a decent, middle-of-the-road sort of guy with good business instincts. Again, he was portrayed as some sort of radical conservative in the election. We badly needed someone with his sound business and managerial experience. Not a former community activist and lecturer who's never held a real job in his life.

There is nothing conservative about the Patriot Act. In fact, when you think of surveillance states in the real world, you're kidding yourself if the nations that come to mind aren't predominately leftist: Great Britain -- more video cameras per square mile in London than any city in the world, and you can get sent to jail for speaking an uncivil word about a protected minority. Even its so-called "conservative" parties are basically on board with leftist, globalist fads. The old Soviet Union (and the current Russia), China, North Korea. Cuba. These are places where you expect your words to be monitored and incorrect attitudes to be adjusted.

There's nothing conservative about foreign wars of choice. Taking out the Taliban was one thing, but in going in for the long haul, Bush was following much more in the footsteps of the liberal Presidents who led us into the bloodiest foreign wars of our history: Wilson, FDR, Truman, Kennedy and Johnson.

Taft, Harding, Coolidge, Hoover, Eisenhower, and Reagan were notable for keeping us out of bloody, ruinous conflicts. Nixon came in with Vietnam going full force after being initiated by Kennedy and escalated by Johnson. He's often vilified in conjunction with Vietnam, but the truth is, he deescalated and ended the war.

Violations of constitutional rights -- the Patriot Act, rendition, Guantanamo Bay -- are not the intellectual heritage of conservatism. They're the intellectual heritage of Wilsonian progressivism. I don't think any high school courses cover it at all today, but under Wilson's rule during WW I, there was widespread suspension of constitutional rights and suppression and even imprisonment of political dissenters. And of course FDR's incarceration of innocent Japanese-Americans is infamous.

Obama did indeed end the war in Iraq. Arguably "losing the peace" in doing so. But he loses any cred for being a peacemaker by the facts that casualties in Afghanistan multiplied under his leadership, he led us into undeclared war in Libya, and executed U.S. citizens without due process -- including a 16-year-old American boy.

So, when people call Obama "conservative" for his "Bush 2.0" behaviors, what they're really talking about is that Obama acts like Bush when Bush wasn't acting like a conservative. But how about in other areas? Can you really call a president "conservative" when they've presided over a radical re-imagining of our health insurance and health care systems? Is it "conservative" to blatantly ignore immigration law and grant blanket de facto amnesty to millions of illegals? Is it "conservative" to restrict drilling on federal lands, to oppose the Keystone pipeline, to saddle coal power plants with ruinous regulatory burdens (that's a promise he kept -- to destroy the coal industry and make energy more expensive), to preside over an EPA that dubs carbon dioxide, a fundamental atmospheric gas and a vital part of the plant life cycle (and by extension all life) a pollutant?

Is it conservative to support increasing the capital gains tax, even though it wouldn't result in more revenue, in the interest of "fairness?"

Finally, there's nothing "conservative" about the man that believes this:

"If you look at the victories and failures of the civil rights movement and its litigation strategy in the court. I think where it succeeded was to invest formal rights in previously dispossessed people, so that now I would have the right to vote. I would now be able to sit at the lunch counter and order as long as I could pay for it Id be o.k. But, the Supreme Court never ventured into the issues of redistribution of wealth, and of more basic issues such as political and economic justice in society. To that extent, as radical as I think people try to characterize the Warren Court, it wasnt that radical. It didnt break free from the essential constraints that were placed by the founding fathers in the Constitution, at least as its been interpreted and Warren Court interpreted in the same way, that generally the Constitution is a charter of negative liberties. Says what the states cant do to you. Says what the Federal government cant do to you, but doesnt say what the Federal government or State government must do on your behalf, and that hasnt shifted and one of the, I think, tragedies of the civil rights movement was, um, because the civil rights movement became so court focused I think there was a tendancy to lose track of the political and community organizing and activities on the ground that are able to put together the actual coalition of powers through which you bring about redistributive change. In some ways we still suffer from that." 

Friday, November 1, 2013

Who Did You Think Would Be Paying For It?

From the L.A. Times

Most young, middle-class Americans I know are happy that millions of previously uninsured people will receive free or heavily subsidized insurance under the Affordable Care Act.

We just didn’t realize that, unless we had health insurance at work, we’d be the ones paying for it.
Then you were fucking idiots. God, really? Have we really raised a generation or more of adults so incapable of thinking through cause and effect that they really believe the government can pull rainbows and puppies out of its ass and hand them to everyone at no cost? I can't feel sympathy with these people. Only anger that they dragged me into it, too, with their willful stupidity.

Oh, in answer to my post title, I'm sure they thought that greedy corporations and the evil one percent would be paying for it. Again, I can't feel sympathy with anyone who buys into such obviously ridiculous propaganda.

Sunday, October 27, 2013

You Can't Comment On History If You Don't Know History

In an article on West Virginia's move toward the Republican Party, the author writes:

What’s happening in West Virginia runs against the tide nationally, and even more, against the pull of its own history. (emphasis mine)

West Virginia exists as a state because it broke away from Virginia in 1863 and refused to join the confederacy. From Franklin D. Roosevelt’s era until the 2000 election, it was among the most reliably Democratic states, one of only six that Jimmy Carter carried in 1980, and 10 that Michael S. Dukakis won in 1988.
I wonder if the author even understands that to side with the union in the Civil War, to refuse to join the confederacy, was to reject the Democrats and side with the Republicans? In other words, West Virginia was birthed out of allegiance to Republican ideals. So instead of claiming that the change is "against the pull of its own history," one could as well contend that it is a reversion to the state's original and most fundamental allegiances. The nightmare of its misplaced loyalties since the New Deal era may be finally over.

Friday, October 25, 2013

My Kids Are Not Part Of "Team America"

There's another one of those interminable international education studies out. I can barely bother myself to read the details. U.S. leads or lags or falls in the middle of the pack in this indicator or that blah, blah, blah.

I can't really care. I shouldn't have to care. Fortunately, my family opted out of the public education system, so we're not really affected by Common Core and all of the people who run around in circles waving their arms that "something has to be done" everytime we don't stack up against the South Koreans in educational outcomes. Home schoolers used to be widely persecuted, but we've put a stop to most of that with consistent legal defense and the sheer weight of numbers.

An important point about the U.S. Constitution is that it is anti-utopian. Yes, there's language in the preamble about forming "a more perfect union," but the means chosen to go about that are the opposite of the Utopian instinct.

We're a nation of individuals. We were the first major nation to recognize that the individual is the most important political unit, and maybe the only major nation to actually function on that basis for an extended period of time.

These educational studies are collectivist wet dreams. They identify a problem with us, collectively, and then proceed to the conclusion that it's OK to manipulate, force and coerce us, collectively, to resolve the problem.

But, regardless of how the U.S. stacks up against other nations educationaly, every single child in the U.S. is an individual. They are not competitors in the World Education Cup Games. How we do collectively is completely irrelevant, because each child's education is the responsibility of himself and his parents. Children and families have no obligation to "pitch in" and help the national average. Education may not be a priority for them -- especially others peoples' educations, or comparative results, and our nation used to recognize the right of people to be uninterested.

Just because the U.S. lags tiny, rich Singapore isn't a reason for some person in Washington to think he can start dictating how kids in Lincoln, NE ought to be educated. It's none of his business. The American system is designed that way. There wasn't even a cabinet-level department of education until the Carter administration in 1979, because education, like most other of our day-to-day governmental responsibilities, was recognized to be a local function for most of U.S. history.

So, don't tell me how the South Koreans are doing compared to us and what we need to do about it as a nation. You worry about your kids and I'll worry about mine. Move to South Korea if it's really important for you to be on the "winning" education team. I'm not on your team. There is no team.


Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Obama's Lies Come To My Employer

I know it's been made clear through thousands of examples that Obama was lying when he said "If you have insurance that you like, then you will be able to keep that insurance."

I just thought I'd add my own experience with my employer. Thousands of people from my company will not be able to keep the insurance they like:

Someone who works for my company submitted this comment on our health care blog:

Submitted by XXXXXXX. on Mon, 10/21/2013 - 14:23
Preparing for the Affordable Care Act does not make sense to me for dropping the 90/10 plan. What is the real reason?

 The company replied:

Submitted by (Corporate Response) on Tue, 10/22/2013 - 08:54
Thank you for your comment.

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) will be taxing companies that provide high-cost plans. This tax, referred to as the “Cadillac tax,”  is a 40% excise tax on the value of group health benefits that exceeds a threshold amount. The 90/10 Plan meets the definition of a high-cost plan per the ACA and a strategic decision was made to discontinue the plan in 2014 to avoid the tax as well as to continue providing affordable medical plan options to associates over the long-term.
In other words, under the affordable care act, the government doesn't want your insurance to be too good. Tough luck suckers.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

The Photo That Lost Every War Since?

Fox has a fascinating article:

Behind the picture: 'Three Dead Americans,' Buna Beach, 1943

The teaser to the article from other pages is "The photo that won World War II," but I think the editor who wrote that teaser got it all wrong. It's quite possible that this photo, the first of its kind, the herald of a new era of visceral visual journalism, was the photo that caused the U.S. to stall in every war since:

What is ultimately so notable about Strock’s picture — beyond its sheer technical excellence, and its quiet power — is that when it was published in LIFE magazine in September 1943, it was the first time that any photograph depicting dead American troops had appeared in any American publication during World War II.
...

For months after Strock made his now-iconic picture, LIFE’s editors pushed the American government’s military censors to allow the magazine to publish that one photograph. The concern, among some at LIFE and certainly many in the government, was that Americans were growing complacent about a war that was far from over and in which an Allied victory was far from certain.
Once citizens started seeing these sorts of photos, videos and 'gritty' journalism, sure, maybe they weren't "complacent" but what they became, in later wars, was something entirely difference than "supportive." Was that the purpose all along? It's grown worse with every war, so that now, through images, wars like the Iraq and Afghanistan wars become intolerable to the public even though the list of U.S. dead and wounded over the entire course of the war is less than numerous single battles of the World War II era.

Could World War II's U.S. war effort have survived live broadcasts of Normandy and Iwo Jima to name just two of many? I kind of doubt it.

I'd ask, on the other hand, could the Holocaust occurred as well, with so much modern, instant media? But, sadly, we've already proven that "yes," modern age holocausts can occur in the Sudan, Somalia, Rwanda, Zimbabwe, South Africa, and many other places.

It's kind of troubling to think that the information age hasn't crippled the monsters at all, just the will of the people who would fight the monsters.

Friday, October 18, 2013

Journalism: Investigating Shallowly

This piece in the New York Times, The Myth of the Medical-Device Tax, is a perfect example of a journalist investigating just deeply enough -- having just enough knowledge about a subject -- to get it completely wrong.

The article complains
The medical-device industry faces virtually no price competition. Because of confidentiality agreements that manufacturers require hospitals to sign, the prices of the devices are cloaked in secrecy.
This is ridiculous. I work in a very similar industry, selling very expensive equipment. Our prices, too, are cloaked in secrecy, and there is tremendous protectiveness about our prices and technology. But confidentiality agreements don't prevent our customer from shopping around, they just prevent them from sharing our information with our competitors and outside sources. The idea that a confidentiality agreement prevents price competition is ludicrous. It could only come from someone who has no experience with high-end niche-market products.

The reason it doesn't work for hospitals is that, unlike a truly free market business, there's no price pressure from below and almost no consumer choice. In my business, if the customer is going to spend several million dollars on our product, they have to justify the expense -- ROI, return on investment. They know they can't simply jack their prices up to ludicrous levels at the consumer end to cover it.

In the healthcare market, though, this isn't true. It starts right at the bottom. Because of the World War II era tax incentives on employer-provided insurance plans, the vast majority of workers get their health insurance through their employers. This means they have effectively no personal choice over their insurance plans. They don't get to choose how much they pay or what is covered. The premiums themselves are often highly-subsidized as a term of employment and even when not, it's pretty much a take-it-or-leave-it proposition.

Then when the consumer seeks actual healthcare, he is either only allowed, or highly-incentivized to go to the healthcare practitioners authorized by his insurance. What other industry does that? If you wreck your car, or your house is damaged in a storm you can go to any mechanic  or contractor you want! But you can't protest this by dumping the insurance company that forces you into this, because see step one: employer-subsidized coverage! It all builds on a rotten foundation. No wonder you get a rotten product!

These doctors are forced into a pricing scheme that is heavily-influenced by insurance company and government mandates. Over half of every health care dollar in the U.S., even before Obamacare, is spent by the U.S. government. It's the 800 lb. gorilla in the room. Because Medicare is a mandatory insurance program for the elderly, and old age is when most people spent the vast majority of their healthcare dollars, Medicare rates dictate nearly all healthcare pricing in the nation -- even non-Medicare insurance and healthcare is warped by these pricing mandates. You can't dictate over half the pricing in an industry through government mandate without that being true.

So, the individual uses the insurance he doesn't have a choice in to select from a limited pool of doctors to obtain treatments for which he is prohibited from negotiating on price, and for which the price he does pay is highly subsidized, typically 80-90% paid by insurance. How, exactly, is this free market medicine? Naturally this encourages astounding waste because at nearly every level of the transaction people are dealing with "other peoples' money."

In my business *none* of it is subsidized. Every expenditure has to be justified by what the market will bear. That's the difference.

The article goes on:
Even worse, manufacturers often maintain personal relationships (sometimes involving financial payments like consulting fees) with physicians who choose the medical devices that their hospitals purchase, creating a conflict of interest. Physicians often don’t even know the costs of the devices, and individual physicians often choose devices on their own, which weakens a hospital’s ability to bargain for volume discounts.
OK, the stuff that's really expensive is hardly fodder for "volume discounts" -- the medical equipment we're talking about here isn't exactly gauze and sutures. It's high-tech fiber optic cameras and highly specialized equipment that may only be used for a single type of surgery. The hospital doesn't buy the expensive pieces in "volume," it may have only one or a few of them.

Certainly the physician choosing his own equipment at hospital expense is another example of "other peoples' money" in operation, but that sounds to me a like a matter of hospital policy, not a matter for government intervention, and it goes back again to the lack of consumer pressure on prices, not fiscally-irresponsible doctors. The doctors choose the equipment because when they are in surgery wrist deep in a cardiac patient, there's no administrative bureaucrat, no advisory group of doctors on the budget committee, to take the fall if the doctor is saddled with inadequate equipment. It's all on his head, the buck stops there. So do we really want anyone but our doctor dictating what equipment he uses?

As for the personal relationships, I don't think people understand how complicated this equipment is. Most people don't realize that there are often medical equipment company reps. right in the OR with the doctor and the rest of the team, because some of this equipment is so complex it requires a highly-knowledgable rep. to be on hand for advice and assistance. Again, we're not talking about gauze and sutures. This is also true in my industry, although it's not life or death: we spend a lot of time advising and assisting customers with our technology long after the sale. You're not just buying a refrigerator from Home Depot, getting it dropped off and never talking to GE or Home Depot again unless you need warranty repeair. When you buy equipment this high-end, you're also buying the company. Good personal relationships and trust in the vendor are essential! If this guy's in the OR with you helping you operate a million-dollar medical device with a patient's life on the line, it's nice to know he's someone competent, that he wasn't flipping burgers two weeks ago, before he signed on with the company that won the contract by submitting the lowest possible bid!

This article says the author, Topher Spiro, is the vice president for health policy at the Center for American Progress. If you go to his bio, he's a lifelong bureaucrat and policy wonk. He's absolutely not the guy you want involved in your life-or-death medical decisions! He demonstrates this in his article by showing that he has no understanding of either the basic economics that underlie this problem, nor the medical necessities involved in the use and sale of expensive medical equipment.

The entire article boils down to "Blah, blah, blah, greedy corporations! Blah, blah, blah, enormous profits!" It's a screed fit for a sophomore political activist, not someone seriously interested in improving the nation's healthcare.

His entire approach is a top-down "solution" that says "Medicare should force" this and legislation would "require" that, when top-down legislation and price fixing are what got us into this mess. It's no accident that the most highly-regulated markets in the nation are also the ones where supply and demand function least effectively. But, when you are a statist, the answer to failure of statist schemes is always "more statism!"


Thursday, October 17, 2013

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

We Don't Need You

A comment thread from Jonah Goldberg's recent column, presented for your edification.


Indians Are Jerks (Slavery Update)

That pretty well sums up what I learned about Indians in this story about the wife of one of the New Delhi rapists. When you consider that India is one of the formerly third-world nations that most effectively capitalized on its British colonial heritage and modernized, it's shocking to then realize that the type of casual cruelty with which this woman's neighbors and family treat her is really the norm in non-Anglo societies. We hear similar stories out of Muslim, Asian and African nations all the time.

The teachings of Jesus have echoed down through the ages here and taken root even among the atheist segments of our society. We are viscerally horrified that a family would let their own daughter starve, that they treat their women as second class citizens. I know seemingly kind, humane Indians in the U.S. It seems that they are that way only to the extent that they have renounced Indian ways.

Update: What was that I was saying about Indians being jerks? In the news today, Revealed: India is home to nearly half of world's 30 million modern day slaves, and the story pretty well upholds my thesis that non-Anglo cultures, in general, suck. Other big offenders: China, Pakistan, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Mauritania, Haiti, Nepal.

For comparison purposes, the slave population of the U.S. in 1860, just before our civil war, was just under 4 million. But India has approximately 15 million enslaved people today.

The report itself is supposed to be at http://www.globalslaveryindex.org/ but I get an "Error establishing a database connection" when trying to access the site. Brought to you by the team that created http://www.healthcare.gov, no doubt.

By the way, I'm inherently skeptical of almost all the numbers from these types of organizations. I noted in the original news article that it mentioned that all the countries with the lowest rates of slavery were European, except for New Zealand, so that got me wondering what sort of slavery population we have in the U.S.
 
The organization that produced the report is http://www.walkfree.org/ and they call out the Florida tomato industry as "ground zero" for U.S. slavery. Whoa, I thought. Must be pretty bad, huh? And a quick google of "slavery florida tomato farms" would certainly lead you to think so. But the more you drill down, the more the narrative falls apart.

Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders of VT was apparently very concerned with the situation (Florida is a county in Vermont, right?), and his site has the most informative article I've found so far: Sixth Immokalee slavery case suspect arrested, from January 18, 2008. How many slaves did this indictment involve? Twelve. But that was 2008. Walk Free is calling Florida "ground zero" for slavery now. Must still be a lot of unprosecuted slavery there, right? Um, no, not so much. Also interesting to note that all the indicted people are Hispanic.

Watch this video starring Lupe Gonzales, organizer of the CIW, Coalition of Immokalee Workers, and a Guatemalan illegal immigrant (The illegal part is never explicitly mentioned, but it's implicit in the entire situation. If these were legal workers, they would have had numerous legal protections against exploitation). Try to bear with the sad violin music:
Interviewer: Are there cases of slavery now? Or no?
Gonzales: (translated from Spanish) Right now, no. But the most recent one is still in court. Because now here everybody knows about the coalition.
So, the U.S.'s "gound zero" for slavery in 2013 has no slaves. Right.

The documentary goes on to show that what's going on now is basically a workers movement for illegal immigrant rights and working conditions. This explains why Sanders was so interested.

While being tortured with sad violins, I continue to watch the video. Picking tomatoes in the hot Florida sun is very hard work. I think I would have guessed that on my own. Man, the work sucks, the pay is low, her trailer is crowded. Maybe she should go back to Guatemala? No, not so much:
Interviewer: Why did you come to Imokalee?
Gonzales: I didn't know I would be picking tomatoes. I came to Florida, arrived in Immokalee ... and there was a lot of work, but I never expected the work to be this difficult ... to earn a "misery." This is where I live (Me: shots of pretty standard mobile home that is very common in Florida and in my area). It is very hard to live in Immokalee. This is supposed to be the "living room."
Interviewer: And how many people [live here]?
Gonzales: Nine people. (Me: Previously she said she earned anywhere from $20 to $50 per day. Let's take the low end, $20. If all nine are farm workers, working five days per week, then they're bringing $900/week into that trailer. Plenty to pay any imaginable rural Florida rent with plenty left over for food.)
Interviewer: Why did you leave Guatemala?
Gonzales: Because there's a lot of poverty in Guatemala. (Me: I shouldn't have to spell it out, but poverty in Guatemala is something considerably worse than nine people in a modern single-wide with clean running water, functioning utilities, and plenty of food to eat. Oh, yes, I should mention that Ms. Gonzales could stand to miss a few meals. She's obese.). You don't earn enough money to raise a family. I was looking for other job opportunities. Sometimes, you never know where you'll end up. Maybe somewhere worse. (Me: Really? You're worse off? Please go back to Guatemala.) At times, I ask myself "Why did I come if the job is worse here?" Because the pay is better. (Me: Yes, I thought so.) So I can send money to my family. (Me: She's not just earning enough to live on, she's earning enough to send some back home!)  ... so my children can study ... so they have better opportunities to grow, to excel in life. (Me: Wow, sounds like you came to the land of opportunity! Yet, somehow, you're still here filming a video complaining about how hard you have it.) That is why we sometimes try to find other job sources. It's a big sacrifice, because I have a daughter in Guatemala. If I knew that life here would be harder ... perhaps I would have stayed in Guatemala (Me: Didn't we just get finished with: better pay? Nobody's stopping you from going back, honey.) But now that I'm here ... I need to push forward.
So, that's ground zero for slavery in the U.S. -- migrant farm workers making more money and living in better condtions than they would in their home countries. Maybe the folks at Walk Free should be spending their time in Guatemala or Mexico -- the countries these migrant workers are abandoning -- if they want to really do something about the plight of poor people in bad conditions.

It does make one pause and wonder if the slavery narrative is as trumped-up everywhere as they are in the U.S., but I'll leave that as an exercise for someone else who wants to fact-check liberal do-gooder organizations. Because Indians are jerks, I kinda believe they're guilty as charged.

Update 2: I was finally able to download the report. The methodology seems OK. I think that at the fringes some of their numbers are probably a little inflated, but they're probably in the ballpark in relative and general terms. Conclusion: Non-Anglo countries suck.

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Role Models

PuffHo recently ran an article, Just Say No to Slutoween.

I'm not going to delve directly into the article content, because pretty much everyone I know is appalled by over-sexualized girls' Halloween costumes, and this article isn't controversial among the halfway civilized and affluent segments of society.

I'm going to come at it sideways. I note that the role model the author presents as an alternative to Disney princesses and sexy police girls is Tina Fey.

I submit that if you can't immediately come up with several thousand better females to emulate than this brittle, modestly funny comedienne who made a big part of her name being neck-deep in the savaging of Sarah Palin, you may have found your problem right there.

Basically, if Tina Fey is your ideal of what a woman should be like, your worldview, your culture, your morality and your comprehension of the potential richness of human virtue and worth are so shallow that it's really no wonder that you have to worry about your 8-year-old dressing up like a hooker on Halloween.

If the gamut of your potential life models runs from Tina Fey to Sexy Nurse ... you have nothing to model your life on.

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Shutdown: If They Won't Run It, Other People Will Be Lining Up To Do So

The usa.gov site has been turned into a Democratic propaganda site for ginning up outrage against the shutdown.

Among its bullet points:

"Every one of America’s national parks and monuments, from Yosemite to the Smithsonian to the Statue of Liberty, will be immediately closed."

Web sites like nasa.gov and nps.gov have been pettily blocked with "shutdown" intro pages rather than simply letting them run would have cost nothing.

You know, I meant to blog about this years ago, but for some reason never got around to it. My family visited the Grand Canyon a few years back, and one thing I noticed while there was that virtually everything interesting and worthwhile that had been done to enhance the site had been done by private individuals.

The first path down for the mule trains was maintained for years by the Kolb Brothers who also built their famous home and photography studio handing over the edge of the canyon. The Hopi House, Lookout Studio, the El Tovar Hotel -- all the really beautiful facilities -- were built by private railroad money and investors.

The park service was antagonistic to the Kolb brothers for years and since the government eventually forced them out, they really haven't done anything except minor improvements to the trail. The government-built hotels are ugly and dingy, nothing like the gorgeous El Tovar. We didn't realize this and ended up getting booked into a terrible piece of crap government motel that would have made a Motel 6 blush in shame.

Honestly, if the government turned the tourist areas of the Grand Canyon over to a private business to run, it would be a huge improvement.

Wednesday, October 2, 2013

Making Things Work

Hat tip from Ace: Scenes From the Ruling Class

Trent Lott on Ted Cruz: "Cut His Legs Out From Under Him"

Lott said, "They've made their point," Lott huffed. "It's time to say enough and move on." Referring to the die-hard tea partiers in the House Republican caucus, he added, "These new guys don't care about making things work."

This is like being happy that a car being driven toward a cliff at 80 mph is "working."

Those darn guys who stopped the car, they don't care about making things work. We have a car to drive here. All their crazy talk about this so-called cliff, that's at least 200-300 yards off in the distance. No need for this craziness of stopping the car. 

Monday, September 30, 2013

Democrats: Junk E-Mail. Republicans: Junk Paper Mail

It's funny, for many years this pattern has held true. Democrats spam the heck out of my email box. I've gotten ten fundraising emails in the past 24 hours from the DNC and OFA (there appears to be no actual difference). The only time I've ever done anything that could be construed as asking to be on their email lists was sending Ted Kennedy a nasty message on his birthday, and being on Sen. Sherrod Brown's mailing list, and emailing the Obama Whitehouse. I get about one email per month from Brown, tops. Ted Kennedy has gone mostly silent (not completely, though, I still get email from his foundation)

Meanwhile, despite dozens, if not hundreds of emails to my Congressmen, the Bush Whitehouse, Republican state reps and senators, and campaign contributions, my level of Republican email is extremely low. But boy do they send me paper mail. Several pieces a week (which really isn't much compared to the amount of email the Democrats send me).

Friday, September 27, 2013

Slut shaming: bad. Prude shaming: good

You hear a lot about how terrible it is to "slut shame" -- to judge people and call them sluts for their sexual behaviors.

But, apparently, shaming someone because they have conservative relationship and sexual standards is all good. At least, I can't think of any reason this PuffHo article exists except to publicly shame and ridicule the man for wanting a thin, pretty, non-promiscuous girlfriend. How dare he?

Update: Jezebel has jumped on the bandwagon to humiliate this poor guy. They savage him pretty well. They even hunt up an online review he left for a Super 8 Motel to use as part of their hit on him (He wasn't all that impressed with it, by the way. His complaints sound about like what anyone's might be).

They link to his website, and I do get the impression that he's quite the odd duck, a bit of a square peg, but probably a decent guy. The only thing wrong with his list is that he dared to say it out loud and post it on the internet. We all have a list. I think most guys would say the girl he's describing sounds pretty great, and not unrealistic. But most of us don't post our lists to the world, because we don't want the kind of beating this guy is taking.

I wish the guy well. There's a lot of lonely, odd ducks out there looking for someone, and not sure how to go about finding someone.

It's just so cruel of these sites to make him a target of their venom.

Thursday, September 26, 2013

What A Bitch

One of the websites I occasionally visit and comment on is glocktalk.com. It has a large collection of forums on various gun topics, and one of the ones I read is Carry Issues.

Recently on that forum was a thread called Ladies Locked and Loaded: How do I conceal my weapon?

The article referred to in the original post discussed, in part, bra holsters. An early commenter (it's all gone now, more on that later), asked if a woman would be able to conceal a Glock model 26 in such a holster.

Now, a Glock 26 is admirably compact little gun for its power and capacity, but it's still quite thick and blocky compared to the truly dimunutive concealed-carry pistols out there. Not many women could unobtrusively have one hanging just underneath their breast bone, concealed by the overhang of their breasts.

As a light-hearted way of empahasizing this point, I replied something to the effect of "Maybe if you're Christina Hendricks."

The poster said he didn't know who Christina Hendricks was. I replied that she was an actress from Mad Men and Firefly known for her "assets" (by which we understand me to mean "large breasts") and I posted a picture:

Point made, right?

There were a few ribald follow-up comments (since they're all gone, I can't evaluate or reproduce them), but also a lot of good information about women's concealed carry. Some of my own posts survived the purge.

And, yeah, the purge. That's what this is all about.

I had not continued to follow the thread very closely, but at some point, it got locked. I don't know exactly how bad it had become, but from what I know of the moderator, probably not that bad. In my opinion, he has a huge stick up his butt and locks threads for a variety of capricious reasons, including his mewling desire to appear enlightened to women like the one I'm about to introduce.

Sometime after the thread was locked, a regular poster penned this rant, So sad, just read the ladies locked and loaded thread. Honestly, what a bitch. Of course her rant is full of replies by people eager to side with her about those terrible, immature, sexist men. Count me out. I view this as anti-male bullying. Men like breasts. Get over it, lady. This type of angry, thin-skinned feminist particularly irks me. They're the type who will loudly complain that they're just as good as any man, but really can't take dealing with men on men's terms. Instead of being a woman succeeding in a man's world, they want all men to act like women in a woman's world.

There's nothing shameful about men appreciating the female form or female attributes. There's nothing immature about sexual humor or comments: we all think it, we all have urges, there's no reason not to be honest about it. Human sexuality is healthy and normal and it finds its way into all areas of our lives. Humor is also normal and healthy and humor often treads uncomfortable territory. If this women can't get past a few comments about Christina Hendricks' breasts and read the valuable information in the thread (of which there was much), that's her psychological problem, not the problem of men with completely normal psyches, hormones and sexual attractions.

Based on this post, the moderator "cleaned out the trash" and re-opened the thread. Christina went out with the "trash." Hmm, who's really anti-woman here?

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

The Morality Of Lying

People have innate tendencies toward both sin and virtue, and it's these competing urges and how we react to them that form the core of our moral life. Most people feel guilt when they lie, and well-raised people try to be truthful as much as they can. But there are situations where the instinct and the ethical training toward truthfulness is misplaced.

A high school teen realized he had inadvertently brought a pocket knife to a baseball game, and proactively sought out a security guard and handed it over. There were no metal detectors, no pat-downs. In all probability he could have just left it in his pocket and nobody would ever have known. But the kid was obviously raised to try to do the right thing.

Unfortunately, his moral education was incomplete. Most people realize that there are times when it is OK to lie.

When someone has broken in to your home and is threatening your family, if he asks you if there is anyone else in the house, do you have an ethical obligation to inform him of your young daughter, hiding in the basement crawlspace? No, of course not.

If you are held up and have your wallet taken by a mugger, and he asks if you have more, are you obligated to mention the envelope of cash in your inside coat pocket that you were taking to pay your rent? Of course not.

You are not obligated to be honest with criminals who mean you harm.

I posit that in many cases, government has become equivalent to a criminal adversary in our lives. Government creates thousands of technical violations and regulations that criminalize innocent behavior, then uses those regulations to rob us of our incomes and freedoms.

The pocket knife was doing no harm. It wasn't going to jump out of his pocket and stab somebody, but the criminal public school system is not this boy's friend. He has no more obligation to fess up about the knife than someone in the mugger and home invader examples above. You don't have to admit to an offense when there is no actual moral wrong being done.

You don't have to obey arbitrary authority.

When the government takes your money against your will, with threat of force, they don't call it stealing, they call it taxation, or regulatory costs.

When you lie to the government about a harmless activity to spare yourself from punishment, it's just protecting yourself.

Our government has lost legitimacy because it has criminalized harmless actions, thus making technical "criminals" out of good people. You don't have to go along with that any more than you have to offer your money to a mugger or your child to a home invader.

I think that this was understood better by older generations. We weren't raised to be as respectful of arbitrary authority. We didn't spend our lives in schools with crazy zero tolerance policies that had no relationship to reality. We didn't get punished with the force of law for normal teenage acting-out.

A few years back, I went to a local club with some friends, all of whom were at least ten years younger than me.

One of the friends had just bought several of us bottles of water right before we decided to leave. I hadn't even opened mine yet.

I saw at the door that they were refusing to let people to leave with any drinks, including these very pricey bottles of water. I wasn't about to just abandon it -- it was mine, it was paid-for -- or stand there guzzling it. So I very pointedly absolutely ignored the bouncer when he told me I couldn't take the water with me.

The bouncer really didn't know what to do. It was obvious he was used to being obeyed. But there's no law against leaving a club with a bottle of water. Their business policy doesn't carry the force of law; he couldn't lay a finger on me. "You can't leave here with that bottle!" "I just did." All he could do was bluster at me and tell me that I better never come back to the club. As if they don't want my money, or as if I couldn't live without going to that club. I think my young friends were as aghast as the bouncer. They had all just internalized that if someone in authority tells you to do something, you do it.

When did it get this bad? In my father's generation, the proper response would have been to tell the over-stepping bouncer to take a hike. Even in my generation, we had a general suspicion of arbitrary authority. But I don't think these kids do. They have grown up in a world where so many exercises of authority are arbitrary and defy common sense that they don't differentiate between legitimate and illegitimate authority. They obey authority because it is authority, not because the authority makes sense.

The downside of this is that when they do start disrespecting authority, they don't do it from any place of sound moral judgment -- they just reject authority in general. You get the Occupy movement. They weren't sure exactly what they wanted and what they were rebelling against, but  boy, they sure felt strongly about it!

I have all the respect in the world for people with the authority to catch thieves, rapists and murderers, or who collect reasonable taxes for legitimate purposes, like roads. But I don't have respect when the law becomes arbitrary. If your rifle's barrel is 16" you're a fine, upstanding citizen. If your rifle's barrel is 14" you better have a permit for a short-barreled rife or you're a despicable felon! Short-barreled rifles don't do anything (except reduce the speed of the bullet and make more noise). You don't look at a rifle and see a self-evident moral wrong due to the length of its barrel! It's arbitrary. It's capricious. It criminalizes something meaningless, and makes criminals of people who never hurt anyone. You can't respect that.

Sunday, September 22, 2013

Setting Unachievable Goals By Using Moving Goalposts

At the Congressional Black Caucus dinner this year, President Obama said: "We must make this country a place where anyone who works hard can earn their way into the middle class, and until we do, we can't let up and we can't rest."

 Well, there will never be any rest, because the game is rigged. Of course people who want to remake the world never admit that things are good enough, because then what would they do with their time?

If you compare standard of living of even the poorest fifth of Americans to middle class Americans in the 19th century, we arrived. Everyone is middle class -- actually, everyone is rich -- because everyone lives better than a middle class person in the 19th century.

But we judge poverty and the "middle class" relatively. Since there will always be a poorest fifth, there will alway be "poor" people to agitate for.

It never ends.

Friday, September 20, 2013

It's Not Assault And Theft When The Enforcers Of Leftism Do It

Hillary's policy of involuntary deletes. I don't care who you are, if you grab my phone out of my hands, I'm going to consider that I was just assaulted and robbed, and I'm going to stone cold deck you. Fair warning.

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Do Your Good Deeds Quietly

That's how I was raised. To this day, when a store is running one of those charity campaigns where they have the little shamrocks or hearts or pink ribbons that they post all over the store with the names of the people who donated, I find it a little unseemly. I always refuse to put my name down. You do your good works quietly. You don't boast. You don't seek recognition. To do so ruins the entire point.

Jesus told a parable "Two men went up into the temple to pray, one a Pharisee and the other a tax collector. The Pharisee stood and was praying this to himself : 'God, I thank You that I am not like other people : swindlers, unjust, adulterers, or even like this tax collector. 'I fast twice a week ; I pay tithes of all that I get.' But the tax collector, standing some distance away, was even unwilling to lift up his eyes to heaven, but was beating his breast, saying, 'God, be merciful to me, the sinner !' I tell you, this man went to his house justified rather than the other ; for everyone who exalts himself will be humbled, but he who humbles himself will be exalted.

To me, getting your name posted on a wall for a trivial act of charity is exalting yourself.

A recent story was Police ID mystery boy who donated savings of $10.03. Apparently the boy just non-chalantly walked in with his bag of change, said he wanted to give a donation to the police and walked out before the desk clerk could get his name.

So they posted their video surveillance of him on YouTube and Facebook to try to find someone who could identify him. OK. First -- creepy! You can't even make a quiet donation without the police tracking you down and making a big deal about it? They publicly ID'd and thanked him. I think this sends the wrong message to the kid. Charity isn't something you do expecting recognition and for people to tell you how wonderful you are. You do it because it's the right thing to do. That seems to be why he did it in the first place, and by making a big deal out of it, they risk making it more about the congratulations than the act itself.

Fortunately the kid seems to be taking it the right way, and still seems to be focused on the value of the giving. You get that kind of attitude from being raised right, not from getting pats on the back from police chiefs.

Inability To Respectfully Debate Disagreements

Ricochet has a recent article, Has Rand Paul Stepped in It? Over on Powerline, their link to the article was "Rand Paul defames Christian conservatives."

Defames? Really? Wow, he must have said some awful stuff! Then I read the article. Hmm. Not so much. The manufactured defamation comes from this statement:

I think some within the Christian community are such great defenders of the promised land and the chosen people that they think war is always the answer, maybe even preemptive war. And I think it’s hard to square the idea of a preemptive war and, to me, that overeagerness [to go to] war, with Christianity.
From the article:
Evangelical leader and supporter of Israel Gary Bauer told Jennifer Rubin of the Washington Post, “Senator Paul is ‘mining’ these discontents but his characterization of Christians as ‘anxious’ to go to war is an outrage and will hurt him.”
...
A senior GOP leader with close ties to the Jewish community told Rubin that Paul’s statement is “factually wrong and demonstrates a lack of knowledge and naiveté.” He said the Senator’s remark “defames Christian conservatives, which, by the way, is not smart politics for someone looking to run for president in 2016. Many conservatives are very worried about the pull on the party, led by Sen. Paul, to a neo-isolationist posture.”
An "outrage!" He "defames" Christian conservatives (said by a "senior GOP leader" who doesn't have the courage to attach his name to the statement)! OK, speaking as a Christian conservative, can we put our big boy pants on and stop pretending we're "outraged" every time someone says something about us with which we disagree? And this is by no means limited to Christian conservatives -- being "outraged" every time you are criticized seems to be the new normal.

The category "Christian conservative" is a huge one. And, certainly, encompasses people whose instincts are both peaceful and aggressive. This should not be news to anyone.

After the 9/11 attacks I found myself quite sympathetic with Ann Coulter's exhortation: "We should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity."

Of course, that was never going to happen (the "convert them to Christianity" part), and lacking that fundamental transformative step, my enthusiasm for what we actually did "Invade their countries, kill their leaders and embrace peaceful 'moderate' Islam, allowing them to set up governments that deferred to Sharia law" sure waned over time.

Given that our public and political culture has deteriorated to a point that where we are so enthralled with the Cult of Diversity and Multi-Culturalism that we can't make rational judgments about our cultural superiority over a bunch of backward Middle Eastern hellholes, the best course is to simply keep out and let them kill each other as much as possible.

But clearly, there are some of us Christian conservatives who have been eager, perhaps overeager, to go to war. It's a fair depiction. As Paul describes, I would probably still characterize myself as a very strong supporter of Israel and probably more willing to go to war in its defense than I would be for many other nations. Paul's disagreement with me on this issue isn't an "outrage," it's a valuable counterpoint. I don't feel "defamed" that he called me on it. Instead I'm glad that he brings it up, so we can talk about it.

If we really could talk about it instead of ranting about how outraged and defamed we're feeling (hold on while I pause for a good cry).

So lets talk about it. How many times over the past 65 years have we had to go to war for Israel? I count, um ... zero times.

The truth is, Israel is really good at taking care of itself, and I don't think the U.S. nation as a whole is in any way in danger of diplomatically abandoning it, even under a Paul presidency. In other words, this is a big deal over nothing.

The list of issues that are of more import to this nation is virtually endless. Even if Paul treated Israel as badly as Obama as treated the U.K., hey, it's only for eight years. Also, the President is not the whole of the government. So we're talking about something that's inconsequential in a long-term relationship.

Would I accept eight years of slightly distancing ourselves from Israel for eight years of a President who respects libertarian ideals and constitutional limits on federal power? I sure would!

Obama's not exactly an enormous cheerleader for Israel, but even he has felt constrained by popular opinion to give lip service to our relationship with Israel. I doubt Paul would be any worse. He could hardly do any worse than Obama in foreign policy overall.

As for the accusation of "neo-isolationist," as others have said, that usually means "someone who doesn't like my war." We're all "isolationists" when we don't want to go to war. And shouldn't we, in most cases, not go to war?" I have no sense that Paul would refuse to defend American interests. That doesn't mean sending men to die at every turn.

Tuesday, September 17, 2013

History Profs Give Obama "B-." What Do HVAC Techs Say?

History professors across the nation rated Obama "B-" because he's not liberal enough.

I ask the question in my headline "What do HVAC Techs say?" I ask because when you read the article, it specifies areas that the history profs considered:

Complaints:
  • The Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) “did not go far enough”
  • The prosecution of Bradley Manning
  • The failure to close Guantanamo Bay
  • Drone strikes against terrorists
Compliments:
  • “Just about the only aspect of Barack Obama’s presidency which has received universal praise from historians has been the president’s Supreme Court appointments,” the pollsters state. “Both Elena Kagan and especially Sonia Sotomayor are highly respected by academics.”
  • They gave him an A- in both the “integrity” and “crisis management” categories
  • They also credited him for ending the Iraq War and killing Osama bin Laden.
What do all these have in common? They're all modern, current policy questions for which an advanced degree in history does not qualify one as an expert.

So, you might as well ask HVAC technicians. Their opinions are equally informed.

This is a non-random citizen opinion poll dressed up in the guise of academic expertise.

Monday, September 16, 2013

Foreign Policy For People Who Don't Understand Foreign Policy

In a recent episode of The Daily Show, Jon Stewart mocks Obama and Kerry's competence in the proposed intervention in Syria. However, he also mocks those who are unhappy with the solution proposed by Putin and accepted by Obama.



Stewart rants:
Who did we lose to? Sanity? "You've beat us this time, rational forethought, but we'll get you!" Who cares how we avoided a war and got a dictator to give up his chemical weapons if we avoided a war and got his dictator to give up his chemical weapons? ... oh, Putin gets the credit! If we caught Charlie Manson, who gives a beep who gets the collar?

And I get that Fox opposes the Syria peace plan because its modus operandi is to foment dissent in the form of a relentless and irrational contrarianism to Barack Obama and all things Democratic to advance its ultimate objective of creating a deliberately misinformed body politic whose fear, anger, mistrust and discontent is the manna upon which it sustains its parasitic, succubus-like existence, and, uh, but--  

wild cheers from the audience

Sorry, I blacked out for a second, was I saying something? But for some reason, even CNN's Chris Cuomo seemed disappointed with the turn of events.... On the one hand, geopolitical reality just shifted one hundred percent, but on the other hand, we built this graphic

shows CNN 'Crisis in Syria' graphic.
Look, Jon, I get that you're making fun of peoples' lack of enthusiasm for the peace plan plan because your modus operandi is to foment dissent in the form of a relentless and irrational contrarianism to Fox News and all things Republican to advance your ultimate objective of creating a deliberately misinformed body politic whose fear, anger, mistrust and discontent is the manna upon which you sustain your parasitic, succubus-like existence, but there are actual reasons why this peace plan is a bad idea.

For the sake of people, like Jon Stewart's viewers, who don't understand foreign policy and aren't interested in it beyond its usefulness as joke fodder on The Daily Show, let me take you back to the classic movie, The Untouchables, with Kevin Costner as Eliot Ness, Robert de Niro as Al Capone, Sean Connery as gruff Chicago cop Jim Malone, and Billy Drago as vicious mob hitman Frank Nitti.

Except, in our version, Vladimir Putin is Capone, Obama is Eliot Ness, Assad is Frank Nitti and the victims of the gass attack collectively play Sean Connery and Nitti's other victims.

This didn't happen in the movie, but imagine Ness had Nitti caught dead to rights for Malone's murder, but he suffers a crisis of courage, because he knows that if he prosecutes Nitti, he becomes target #1 of the mob. The mayor (Kerry) wonders if there's a better way out of the whole thing. Suddenly, Al Capone steps forward as a concerned member of the community. "This whole thing has been overblown. I'm sure we can settle things if we just make sure Mr. Nitti turns in his guns. I assure you, he'll suffer harsh censure by the Chicago community. And Ness caves. He lets Nitti go.

Meanwhile you're screaming at the screen, "No, you idiot! Nitti works for Capone! He's not going to give up his guns! He's not going to stop killing people!"

That's what just happened. Assad is Putin's client dictator. The chemical weapons will not be turned over, except for some tokens to mollify the press and U.N. inspectors. Assad will not be weakened. He'll get off Scot free and actually emerge with greater international credibility. And Al Capone gets to look like a frickin' hero, while making Ness look cowardly and ineffectual.

That's what just happened in Syria.

Now, as Obama likes to say, let me be perfectly clear. I was never in favor of a military intervention in Syria. That's where the Untouchables metaphor ends. Obama made unwise statement after unwise statement over the past several years and backed himself into a corner. In the long run, it's probably better that Obama look weak than we blunder into an ill-advised war. But this was a major diplomatic defeat, and it will take a Reagan-like individual following Obama's Carter impersonation to win back our prestige.

I have no doubt it can be done, but that, Mr. Stewart, is why people are not happy with the outcome.

A compromise solution might have been to outright reject the weapon turnover plan as unrealistic, Assad's stated willingness to cooperate as insufficient and unconvincing, and continued to try to build international support, but that would have been a whole lot easier if Obama hadn't already been saber-rattling for unilateral strikes without any U.N. or international approval. He could have continued to bully the European and International communities for their own cowardice in failing to address the issue -- put the onus on them, as they seem very fond of moralizing about U.S. actions and inactions. the E.U.'s collective military might is more than enough to handle a tin-pot dictator like Assad. Only express willingness to go in when U.S. forces represent less than 25 percent of those committed.

That would have put him in the moral high ground, because this was supposedly a crime against international standards (even though Syria isn't a signatory to the chemical weapons ban), so it requires an international response. U.S. interests weren't at stake in any dire way, so U.S. risk should be minimal. If the so-called international community wants international standards to have meaning, it has to show that it has some balls of its own.

Of course, it doesn't, and that would have gotten us off the hook. This isn't the movie High Noon and if the rest of the international community is too cowardly or unwilling to uphold its standards, then the U.S. doesn't have any obligation to go it alone.

Update: It's starting already.

"It's a clever proposal from Russia to prevent the attacks," one Assad supporter said from the port of Tartous, site of a Russian naval base. "Russia will give us new weapons that are better than chemical weapons," he added. "We are strong enough to save our power and fight the terrorists."

Somehow I'm not expecting an apology from Jon Stewart admitting that Neville Chamberlain Barack Obama did not achieve "peach in our time."

Sunday, September 15, 2013

Boston University of Physics "Brainteaser" Demonstrates Narrowly Focused Intelligence In Action

I blogged recently about how our educational system produces people with very narrowly-focused knowledge. Here it is in action.

The brainteaser, "The Monkey and the Hunter," from the Boston University Department of Physics is as follows:

A hunter spies a monkey in a tree, takes aim, and fires. At the moment the bullet leaves the gun the monkey lets go of the tree branch and drops straight down. How should the hunter aim to hit the monkey?
  1. Aim directly at the monkey
  2. Aim high (over the monkey's head)
  3. Aim low (below the monkey) 
The BU Physic's dept. answer, compete with equations, is based on the simple fact that gravity acts on the monkey and the bullet at the same rate, so that if you aim directly at the monkey, by the time the bullet reaches the monkey, the monkey and the bullet will have dropped the same amount. Thus, their answer is 1.

Which happens to be wrong.

What this really shows is that few BU physics students are hunters. Hunters deal with gravity-induced bullet drop every time they shoot. A rifle isn't sighted in along a straight line from the barrel to the target. The rifle is sighted in to account for the bullet drop at a known shooting distance (typically 100 yards). The shooter either manually compensates or adjusts his scope/sights on the fly if the distance is different, but the point is, the hunter's point of aim is already taking gravity's effect on the bullet into account. Unless the hunter knew for a fact back when he sighted in his rifle that he was going to be shooting at falling monkeys, he would not aim directly at the monkey, because that point of aim is already lower than a straight line, to account for bullet drop. He would have to estimate how much the bullet would drop due to gravity and adjust his aim by that much.

Unfortunately, an education in physics at Boston University doesn't equip you with any knowledge about how people deal with gravity in practical applications every day.

Saturday, September 14, 2013

The U.N.: A Force For Decline?

I was reading Vladimir Putin's Op-Ed in the New York Times and it got me thinking again about the United Nations. My distrust of the organization is not new. I think it's a corrupt vehicle for greedy parasites and stealth world socialists and marxists.

But lately I've been thinking that not only the U.N. is bad, but some of what people consider the civilized norms that the institution is intended to promote are bad. In other worlds, the U.N. isn't just bad because it's a failure at what it does. It's also bad to the extent that it succeeds!

Prior to the 20th century, conquest of one nation by another was something that happened frequently. Nations were not considered to have a fundamental right of existence. Nations were created, destroyed, merged and fractured with great regularity. It was an accepted reality of global politics.

However, during the 20th century, not starting with the U.N., but growing as a general sentiment expressed in the world of international politics and in the failed League of Nations, was the idea that invading another country is wrong. Conducting wars of conquest is wrong.

This assertion is, I think, generally accepted by at least the world at large. The consequence is that international borders have become virtually set in stone. The only time they change is when a state fails so badly that it breaks up into smaller states (the origin of the world Balkanization), such as in Sudan and South Sudan and, of course, the Balkans, or, theoretically, when two independent states jointly agree to merge (has that happened in modern times?).

Many current nations didn't even exist until the early 20th century -- Iraq, Jordan, Israel or Somalia. In fact, if you look at a historical maps of Africa from the early 19th century, the borders are almost unrecognizable compared to modern maps. But now, every nation's sovereign borders are considered inviolate, and wars of aggression, no less conquest, attract international outcry.

And therein lies the problem. We have determined that even the worst nations -- nations that are essentially lawless no-man's-lands like Somalia, are "too big to fail." We acknowlege, enforce and revere their borders long after those borders cease to contain anything like an actual functioning nation state.

These facts -- new nations only form from the dissolution of sufficiently failed nations and wars of conquest are not acceptable -- are almost an ironclad recipe for slow decline. The only direction we willingly let nations go is down.

In previous times, an utterly dysfunctional land would be considered ripe for takeover by a more-functional neighboring land. This is how all successful states grew. There was no sense that Somalia had a "right" to be Somalia instead of, say, Northern Kenya.

The United States may never have been settled at all, if the right of natives to their native lands had been respected, or it may have stopped as a little coastal strip, or with the Louisiana purchase -- at whatever point it was at when the modern world's towering respect for international borders took hold.

This would have been a disaster then, and it's a growing disaster now. We view successful nations as having equal rights of existence to failed nations. We even recognize the right of our sworn enemies, Iran and North Korea, to exist.

We've abandoned the creative destruction that has been the engine of world progress, because we're no longer willing to throw away bad ideas when they're shaped like a nation. It's entirely possible that the current national borders are, in many locations, bad ideas. The idea was touched on in Iraq by the proponents of the three state solution, but even this solution stopped at the borders to Iraq.

It's as if no U.S. car company was ever allowed to go out of business. Ha, yes, I know it seems we actually think this way now. Anytime one of the big three looks like it's in real danger of failing, the government steps in. But once upon a time, the big three wasn't the big three. There was competition with Packard, AMC, Hudson, Dodge, and many others.

Imagine if the list of U.S. automobile manufacturers was frozen in 1920 with all of them being considered "too big to fail" or having a "right of existence?" What kind of dysfunctional, parasitic government tenant corporations would we be saddled with?

We enforce the existence of failed nations, unless they fall apart into smaller states. But smaller states are less capable states: they have fewer resources, fewer people, they're less capable of great things. Switzerland is a wonderful country, but nobody looks to it to lead the space race. Swiss ideals of industry and culture will never dominate the world, because the Swiss are content being an insular people. But even if tomorrow they changed their mind, if they decided to invade and acquire failing Italy to the south, the entire world would have a proverbial cow. It would never be allowed.

Instead, Italy will be able to continue with, in the words of Animal House, its "long tradition of existence" no matter how utterly it has failed as a nation. This despite the fact that Italy in the form of its current borders is less than 150 years old -- a blink of the eye, in historical terms.

This excessive respect and veneration of national boundaries serves, of course, the entrenched interests. The elite. The holders of the reins of power. It's rent-seeking and cronyism on the international level. They all make a lot of noise about the spread of freedom and democracy, but the minute one of them started spreading freedom and democracy in the way that we know worked historically -- conquest -- the rest of the world would have a fit. They're far more interested in maintaining the status quo.

So we're stuck with a lot of ossified states, coasting along on their guaranteed right to exist, until they become so utterly failed that their own citizens tear them apart from within, condemning them to chaos or Balkanization. Historically, we'd been moving away from the city-state. It was a failed model. But that's the only direction allowed, now, and that means trouble down the line.